So How Did I Do?

Rubbish actually. I think I’ll avoid football punditry and stick to programming.

My predictions were:

  • Sunderland 0 – 2 Chelsea
  • Hull 1 – 1 Man United
  • Aston Villa 2 – 3 Newcastle

Actual results were:

  • Sunderland 2 – 3 Chelsea
  • Hull 0 – 1 Man United
  • Aston Villa 1 – 0 Newcastle

I also predicted the Villa / Mags match would be a cracker and by all accounts it seems to have been crap.

It’s also good that I’m not a betting man, because Chelsea for a win was 19/20. I think that means that if I’d put a fiver on each of my predictions, I would have shelled out £15, and won back £9.75. Net loss of £5.25.

It does, however, mean that both the Mags and Boro are down. That’s worth a fiver of my money any day.

All Bets Are On!

No sooner had I posted my theory on the end of the 2009 season, than I thought about looking at the bookies’ theories on who will go down. Firstly, the odds for each match according to William Hill at the time of writing:

Sunderland v Chelsea

I predicted 0-2.

  • Home win – 9/4
  • Draw – 23/10
  • Away win – 19/20

I think 23/10 for a draw and 9/4 for a home win are mostly there to draw in some optimistic Sunderland fans, but the safe money is obviously with the Blues.

Hull v Man United

I predicted 1-1.

  • Home win – 13/8
  • Draw – 12/5
  • Away win – 6/5

William Hill are sticking with the champions ending in style, but they aren’t offering great odds on a draw either. I don’t think

Aston Villa v Newcastle

I predicted 2-3.

  • Home win – 6/5
  • Draw – 12/5
  • Away win – 13/8

Very little faith with the fat Geordie barcodes there, offering the same odds as the Hull match in favour of the top team.

Overall

To finish in the bottom 3, the following odds are being offered:

  • Middlesbrough – 1/100
  • Newcastle – 4/7
  • Hull – 13/8
  • Sunderland – 8/1

Now if I’m reading that right, the bookies are thinking the table will stay as-is. Sunderland and Hull to survive; Newcastle to go down.

Watch this space.

End of the Season

It’s the end of the season and again Sunderland are wondering what’s going to happen on the last day. 90 minutes next Sunday will determine whether we’re playing Liverpool or Leicester next season. So what do I think?

Here’s the table as it stands:

Position Team Played GD PTS
15 Blackburn 37 -20 40
16 Sunderland 37 -19 36
17 Hull 37 -24 35
18 Newcastle 37 -18 34
19 Middlesbrough 37 -28 32
20 West Brom 37 -31 31

Mathematically speaking, Blackburn are now clear and West Brom are now relegated. So what about the rest? Well here’s the fixtures still to be played.

  • Sunderland v Chelsea
  • Hull v Man United
  • Aston Villa v Newcastle
  • West Ham v Middlesbrough

Realistically speaking, Middlesbrough are also down. In their situation even Steve McQueen would have thrown in the towel by now. For their survival it would need them to win by 5 goals, and hope that both Hull and Newcastle would fail to get a point between them. I think they will actually get beat anyhow: 2-0.

So now we’ve narrowed it to one down from Sunderland, Hull, or Newcastle.

For the Sunderland match, I’d be surprised if we kept it to just 2-0. No points there.

With Hull at home to Man United there’s a chance Hull could nick a point. With Man U having freshly claimed the title and possibly putting out their reserves, there’s a good chance Hull could manage 1-1.

The final match of the trio is Aston Villa v Newcastle, which I think will be a cracking match. Villa have nothing to lose and can claim 5th spot if Everton lose away to Fulham. The Mags obviously have nothing to lose either and will be fighting (quite possibly literally) for the match. My prediction is 2-3.

So where does that put the table according to my predictions?

Position Team Played GD PTS
16 Newcastle 38 -17 37
17 Sunderland 38 -21 36
18 Hull 38 -24 36
19 Middlesbrough 38 -30 32
20 West Brom 38 xx xx

I said to my Dad about four weeks ago that this season you would be able to survive on 36 points and goal difference / 37 points outright. I’ll post back here with the actual results to see if I’m right…

Flying Saucer

Lucy has been getting some singalong CDs and there’s one in the car at the minute. One really catchy tune I’ve got in my head is “Five Little Men in a Flying Saucer”. Only 95 seconds long, but very entertaining. It’s been driving my wife crackers.

Five little men in a flying saucer,
Flew round the Earth one day,
They looked left and right,
But they didn’t like the sight,
So one man flew away.

Four little men in a flying saucer,
Flew round the Earth one day,
They looked left and right,
But they didn’t like the sight,
So one man flew away.

Three little men in a flying saucer,
Flew round the Earth one day,
They looked left and right,
But they didn’t like the sight,
So one man flew away.

Two little men in a flying saucer,
Flew round the Earth one day,
They looked left and right,
But they didn’t like the sight,
So one man flew away.

One little man in a flying saucer,
Flew round the Earth one day,
He looked left and right,
But he didn’t like the sight,
So then he flew away.

Burnin’ Down the Pub

We’ve been out for a nice evening meal tonight at a (reasonably) local pub: The Fox & Hounds and Lone Barn at Bursledon. And if you think that’s a mouthful, wait until you see the burgers…

It’s a nice place and usually very peaceful. Tonight there were three girls wandering round – obviously bored with grown-ups talking – and looking at everything they could find. They were somewhere in the region of 8-10 years old (I’m never very good at guessing ages of kids). Above the fireplace next to us was the witty slogan:

Fires are like men – if you don’t watch them, they go out!

Ha ha. Anyway one of the girls read this out loud, finishing with one of the world’s most too-old-for-your-own-good-comments: “that’s true you know”. 10 year old and got men sussed! Had that  been the last of them I would have chuckled quietly and left. But later something odd happened, which I’ve never seen in a pub before.

So there’s us sitting there very happily. Lucy was tucking into some gorgeous tomato pasta with garlic bread, Katrina was enjoying something and tartare sauce (probably scampi) and I was polishing off the final yolk remnants of the ham. egg and chips. Katrina nudged me and pointed behind me. I turned around to find one of the three lighting a paper tissue using a candle which was on a nearby table.

Now we are all aware that tissues catch alight very quickly, and it was only a couple of seconds before this girl acquired this new knowledge normally reserved for adults. I shouted at them, which obviously caught the attention of everyone in the top half of the pub. With hindsight shouting “Oi! Stop that!” was a bit pointless given that she was already panicking and wishing she hadn’t set alight to her hanky.

I don’t know why I then jumped up, snatched the tissue from her hand and stamped it out on the floor, but I did. Maybe it’s because over the years I’ve handled so many more dangerous things that have been on fire. Barbeques, chemistry lessons, and camping have all been sources of firey fun in the past and that sort of prepares you I think.

The girls had scarpered before the tissue had stopped glowing and I did think about storming off and venting to their parents but my overriding thought was “bucket” (give or take a consonant). What really would be the point? Hopefully that will be lesson learnt for them never to play with fire. If not, then it’s not going to be my responsibility to sit with them in A&E while they complain about first-degree burns.

The manageress in the restaurant seemed genuinely concerned about my welfare but seemed completely uninterested in going to find the party responsible. She didn’t even knock a penny off the bill as an expression of gratitude for saving her from entering a burned child into the accident book.

Is that me just being tight?

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