End of the Season

It’s the end of the season and again Sunderland are wondering what’s going to happen on the last day. 90 minutes next Sunday will determine whether we’re playing Liverpool or Leicester next season. So what do I think?

Here’s the table as it stands:

Position Team Played GD PTS
15 Blackburn 37 -20 40
16 Sunderland 37 -19 36
17 Hull 37 -24 35
18 Newcastle 37 -18 34
19 Middlesbrough 37 -28 32
20 West Brom 37 -31 31

Mathematically speaking, Blackburn are now clear and West Brom are now relegated. So what about the rest? Well here’s the fixtures still to be played.

  • Sunderland v Chelsea
  • Hull v Man United
  • Aston Villa v Newcastle
  • West Ham v Middlesbrough

Realistically speaking, Middlesbrough are also down. In their situation even Steve McQueen would have thrown in the towel by now. For their survival it would need them to win by 5 goals, and hope that both Hull and Newcastle would fail to get a point between them. I think they will actually get beat anyhow: 2-0.

So now we’ve narrowed it to one down from Sunderland, Hull, or Newcastle.

For the Sunderland match, I’d be surprised if we kept it to just 2-0. No points there.

With Hull at home to Man United there’s a chance Hull could nick a point. With Man U having freshly claimed the title and possibly putting out their reserves, there’s a good chance Hull could manage 1-1.

The final match of the trio is Aston Villa v Newcastle, which I think will be a cracking match. Villa have nothing to lose and can claim 5th spot if Everton lose away to Fulham. The Mags obviously have nothing to lose either and will be fighting (quite possibly literally) for the match. My prediction is 2-3.

So where does that put the table according to my predictions?

Position Team Played GD PTS
16 Newcastle 38 -17 37
17 Sunderland 38 -21 36
18 Hull 38 -24 36
19 Middlesbrough 38 -30 32
20 West Brom 38 xx xx

I said to my Dad about four weeks ago that this season you would be able to survive on 36 points and goal difference / 37 points outright. I’ll post back here with the actual results to see if I’m right…