So How Did I Do?

Rubbish actually. I think I’ll avoid football punditry and stick to programming.

My predictions were:

  • Sunderland 0 – 2 Chelsea
  • Hull 1 – 1 Man United
  • Aston Villa 2 – 3 Newcastle

Actual results were:

  • Sunderland 2 – 3 Chelsea
  • Hull 0 – 1 Man United
  • Aston Villa 1 – 0 Newcastle

I also predicted the Villa / Mags match would be a cracker and by all accounts it seems to have been crap.

It’s also good that I’m not a betting man, because Chelsea for a win was 19/20. I think that means that if I’d put a fiver on each of my predictions, I would have shelled out £15, and won back £9.75. Net loss of £5.25.

It does, however, mean that both the Mags and Boro are down. That’s worth a fiver of my money any day.

All Bets Are On!

No sooner had I posted my theory on the end of the 2009 season, than I thought about looking at the bookies’ theories on who will go down. Firstly, the odds for each match according to William Hill at the time of writing:

Sunderland v Chelsea

I predicted 0-2.

  • Home win – 9/4
  • Draw – 23/10
  • Away win – 19/20

I think 23/10 for a draw and 9/4 for a home win are mostly there to draw in some optimistic Sunderland fans, but the safe money is obviously with the Blues.

Hull v Man United

I predicted 1-1.

  • Home win – 13/8
  • Draw – 12/5
  • Away win – 6/5

William Hill are sticking with the champions ending in style, but they aren’t offering great odds on a draw either. I don’t think

Aston Villa v Newcastle

I predicted 2-3.

  • Home win – 6/5
  • Draw – 12/5
  • Away win – 13/8

Very little faith with the fat Geordie barcodes there, offering the same odds as the Hull match in favour of the top team.

Overall

To finish in the bottom 3, the following odds are being offered:

  • Middlesbrough – 1/100
  • Newcastle – 4/7
  • Hull – 13/8
  • Sunderland – 8/1

Now if I’m reading that right, the bookies are thinking the table will stay as-is. Sunderland and Hull to survive; Newcastle to go down.

Watch this space.